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Prediction for CME (2017-03-19T18:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2017-03-19T18:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/12298/-1
CME Note: CME start time is not completely accurate since it is a very faint partial halo. It was changed from 2017-03-20T06:00Z to 2017-03-19T18:24Z. The shock arrival is not clear since CME may have been combined and picked up by the HSS that arrived at Earth on 2017-03-21T00:00Z.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2017-03-23T08:51Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 4.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2017-03-24T00:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
Prediction Method Note:

https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/12297/1
Model Inputs:
2017-03-19T18:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-10.0, Lat.=-24.0, Speed=280.0, HalfAngle=23.0, Time21.5=2017-03-20T03:59Z

Model Output:

Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2017-03-24T00:00Z (+- 7 hours)

Other Location(s) Impact:

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20170320_035900_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20170320_035900_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20170320_035900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20170320_035900_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20170320_035900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20170320_035900_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20170320_035900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20170320_035900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20170320_035900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20170320_035900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20170320_035900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20170320_035900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20170320_035900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Spitz_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20170320_035900_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif

Lead Time: 65.90 hour(s)
Difference: -15.15 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Yaireska Collado (M2M Office) on 2017-03-20T14:57Z

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